Is a correlation significant? The t-test of correlation
KnownMemorizeThe correlation t-test
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Null hypothesis | (two-tailed, ) |
| Statistic | |
| Degrees of freedom | |
| Decision | critical value → reject |
Memory hook Same df as a one-variable regression, which estimates two coefficients (intercept and slope): n − 2. The root of 1 − r² is the "noise" under the line.
Know it cold Reject only when |t| beats the critical value the question gives. Never "accept" H₀.
Key terms
- parametric test of correlation Use it
- sample correlation coefficient Know the idea
- t-statistic for a correlation Memorize
- degrees of freedom Memorize
- statistically significant Use it
- |t| greater than the critical value Memorize a large t is far from zero
- Reject H₀ the correlation is statistically significant
-
- |t| at or below the critical value Memorize the sample could easily be noise
- Fail to reject H₀ not significant, which is not the same as proving ρ = 0
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Formulas
Quick example
A correlation of 0.52 from 27 observations. t = 0.52 × √25 ÷ √(1 − 0.2704) = 2.60 ÷ 0.854 = 3.04, with 25 degrees of freedom.
- 0.52×25√x÷(1−0.52x²)√x= 3.0439
√x square root · x² square
- 0.52ENTER25g√x×1ENTER0.52ENTER×−g√x÷ 3.0439
ENTER enter (on the HP, puts the number on the stack) · g blue shift key · √x square root